Why would you trade Favors for Monroe? ... Favors has the rare blend of size and athleticism that is only seen in guys like Amare and Dwight Howard.
Couple of reasons.
For one, Favors comes in at $8.5M this year and next, with even more expensive team options for the remaining two years of his contract. Monroe would come in at $3M with no options to pay for in the final years.
And because Favors is the youngest player in the league and all he has to offer in the near term is "potential". Yeah, if he reaches that potential, he's off the charts and the Jazz will be thrilled to have him. But, by then, he's also about to leave the Jazz... How many guys that comes into the league with the kind of "potential" Favors has, actually ever amount to more than role players? The vast majority don't ever pan out as hoped. I'm not making predictions on Favors one way or the other, as far as down the road - he could easily be the one in ten that actually plays up to his potential. But for the near term/remainder of his current contract? For the rest of this season and next, he's an $8M a year pure project, playing limited minutes. If he's ever going to get good, he'll be starting to come around and play some real minutes in two years. But, then if he really pans out he'll be in his contract year in three years and likely be traded away just like DWill just was - unless the Jazz can lock him up with a long term deal. Which, might actually be possible under terms of the upcoming new CBA? But that's a lot of money for a project in the near term and a lot of "what if" down the road.
Monroe's game is more established and almost purpose built for the Jazz system. He could come in and be productive and contribute meaningful minutes immediately. For less than half the money. He does NOT have the athleticism and upside Favors has, no doubt. But, he's a pretty big money saver right away and he's going to be able to play more meaningful minutes right away. Just a lot less money for more immediate results.
Long term, if Favors turns out to be all that, and if the Jazz could keep Favors around long enough to enjoy it, well, if I knew those things were going to come true, then hell yeah, keep Favors!
All pretty meaningless though, really, as I think it extremely unlikely that the type of trade I proposed will actually happen.
And even if Favors only turns out to be a solid role player, Al, 'Sap and Fav is a top 10 front court and top 5 rotation in the league. If the Jazz can afford to keep all three of them.
I think in the end we are better off trading a top 2 PG to get a top 10 PG, a couple lottery picks, a 6'10" 240 lb 19 year old with ridiculous upside, and about 8 million dollars in savings. All of those assets are worth way more than one more season with Williams and watching him bolt with nothing in return.
Totally agree. The Jazz got what Denver "wanted" for Melo. Only Melo wouldn't go to the Nets, so Denver "had" to take the Knicks deal. Realistically, I don't think the Jazz could have hoped for much better. Had they not taken this deal, they easily could have ended up like Clev, Tor or Phx, losing their top player for nothing.
...and the next person that thinks the Jazz need a smaller, less athletic, less proven version of JJ Redick in Jimmer is going to make me freak out.
Totally agree with that too. If the Jazz burn a top 15 pick on Jimmer, I'm cancelling my season tickets... I can kind of see taking him with a late first rounder though, as a business move if nothing else. And who knows, he might turn out to be the next Steve Kerr or something...
- DAA