That AMC model 20 isn't nearly as crappy as everyone thinks they are - even with the 2-piece shafts
as long as they're put together properly... Emphasis on that last part. They're not bulletproof especially when compared to a 60, but I'd argue they're every bit as good as any other axle that came stock in a CJ (1986 Dana 44 included). Remember that the center section of that model 20 is the same thing that the military runs in the Humvee, and while Humvees have plenty of issues, they don't typically break gears (I know they're portals and all, I'm just saying it's cool that they're the same parts...)
In stock form, if that flange nut hasn't ever been removed from the 2-piece shaft, you're good to go. If that flange nut and flange has been removed at any point in the Jeep's history, that's where you could have issues. The problem is that nobody bothers to reassemble and torque them properly, which doesn't seat the splines (flange to shaft) properly, and that's what causes the issues.
Read the gospel of Moses (Lundel):
The axle shaft tapers have "teeth" that cut into the smooth surface of a new rear wheel hub casting. There is a minimum beginning axle shaft nut torque on Jeep CJs of 250 ft-lbs. For a new hub, this is followed by tightening the axle shaft nut further until you achieve the factory-specified stick...
forums.4wdmechanix.com