My thoughts are muddled:
Looking on KSL today, have a few main thoughts (anyone else wants to chime in on these feel free!)
1) 4Runner 04-05s, running $12-14k for V8 (V6 requires premium I noticed) with typically 110-135K miles. Biggest negative I see is need to turn around and spend $2,000 give or take on lift and tires to do much beyond moderate dirt roads (departure angle looks like a killer).
2) Tacomas. Run $2-3k more than a 4Runner. For moderate off road would avoid need for lift I would think, but would be an issue for harder stuff. V6 premium issue. If you can get buy with extended cab instead of crew cab (I can't) opens more options.
3) GX470. Bit more expensive than 4Runner, needs lift even more.
4) H3. Seems most 'off road ready' out of the box, especially if find model with locker. I know not likely to have reliability of a Toyota but I have been very happy with my last three GM products (04 duramax, sold it with 350K, 08 Duramax with 190K that is my wife's DD and 02 1500 extended cab with 240K that is my DD). Most are 06s I am finding, with about 120-140K miles, ranging $12-14K.
5) Jeeps: 2006 LJ (2 door Unlimited): Couple around, $14-16K. One as low as 71k miles, others 110-140k miles. If lifted and Rubicon (factory lockers) very capable, main down side is 2 door, only seats four, most no roof-rack.
4-Door Unlimited 2007-08s, either Wrangler X or Sahara, 110K miles or so, $16-18K. More expensive and would want some lift and tire upgrades along lines of 4Runner.
6) Full Size pick-up. Not what I am after this time around (have 2 already) but love the room. The Chevy extended cab is surprising comfortable in back (my 6' son is fine) and pretty capable. Z71 models have limited slip. Add small lift if needed and good to go. MPG not much different from the others. My commute is mostly freeway (80 miles/day) and I average 16-17.
My thoughts are currently torn between H3 and LJ.