We may be getting off topic here, but here goes:
Say your engine produces 10 lbs/ft of torque at 1000 rpms. First gear in your tranny is 2:1. So now you have 20 lbs of torque, but are moving at half speed. Your tcase is also 2:1 in low range, but 1:1 in high. So in low range you are putting out 40 lbs of torque, but have cut your speed in half again.
So crawling up Waynes world in low range at 1000 rpms will put 40 lbs of torque on your pinion shaft. Do that same thing in high range your pinion shaft would see only 20 lbs of torque, but make that climb twice as fast.
Your pinion shaft has a fail point of x lbs of torque. No matter what range you are in, climbing Waynes World or mall crawling, once that number is reached, the shaft will break.
I have no numbers about breakage in hi or low range, and it doesn't matter. All this gearing does is effect the engine ability to make power. So when it seams like there is less stress in low range, that is just because the lower gears are making it easier for the engine to remain running. So to do the same thing in high range would require a heavier foot or slipping the clutch, both would produce more torque, which would see its way to the pinion shaft. So a 35 spline shaft, which can handle more torque, will last longer.
Anyways, going back to the op, from the pictures I don't see pinion failure. Just a weakish case.
There will be a test this Friday on the effects of torque multiplication on pinion shafts.