Steve are you ok?? You repeated just about everything you said
But I would have to disagree. Toyota axles can handle (if built) 40-42" tires. I wouldnt go much higher. I really dont think the output will be a weak link. Granted, it is all on drivers style at that point. But a great example is Goose's truck. He may have 1 ton axles, but he still has a dual toyota case.
I was talking to him about if he ever had issues with breaking output/input shafts, and he (if I remember correctly) said he didnt. He did upgraded to the 23 Spline chromolys. He said the only issue he had was his adapter came loose one time if I remember correctly.
Toyota axles are a lot stronger than most think. I know of many guys that are running 40+ on theres. I plan to run atleast 39.5s on my project (when I can find the perfect starter rig, I am planning lightweight flat-tow rig[Samurai])